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Is May a Make or Break Month for Bitcoin?

May ushers in a series of crucial events that have the potential to significantly impact the course of Bitcoin and the wider cryptocurrency market. These events, spanning from regulatory rulings to economic indicators, hold the power to deeply influence market dynamics.

Key Regulatory and Economic Events to Monitor

This month is marked by important dates, starting with a vital meeting involving Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. His upcoming press conference holds significance, especially after recent economic data indicated a decrease in consumer confidence amidst ongoing wage pressures.

Powell, in his previous speeches, has emphasized the persistent challenges in managing inflation and the strength of the job market, factors that continue to shape expectations around monetary policy.

Furthermore, the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April on May 15 is eagerly awaited. This event is closely followed by the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) decision on the approval of Spot Ethereum ETFs.

The outcomes of these events have the potential to either dampen or spark investor interest, with significant implications for market liquidity and volatility. Particularly, the SEC’s responses to VanEck’s Ethereum spot ETF application on May 23 and a Bitcoin spot option ETF application on May 29 are viewed as possible triggers for market movements.

Impacts on the Market and Analyst Perspectives on Bitcoin

The anticipation of prolonged higher interest rates than previously anticipated is already influencing the cryptocurrency markets. Bitcoin, for instance, recently experienced a sharp decline, dropping by over 6% within a day, hitting one of its lowest points in months at $56,757. This downturn led to significant market liquidations, with over $394.82 million in liquidations reported by Coinglass, affecting 106,104 traders in the same timeframe.

Renowned financial analyst Peter Brandt, leveraging his in-depth understanding of market trends, suggests that Bitcoin could face further declines before any potential recovery. Brandt predicts that Bitcoin might dip towards the $40,000 range as part of its market correction phase before a potential bullish upturn.

Brandt also highlights that despite various market stimuli like halving events and spot ETF launches in past years, Bitcoin has struggled to surpass its peak prices from three years ago.