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Insight into Bitcoin Cycle Peak Prediction Using USDT Dominance

A method to anticipate the market top for Bitcoin involves examining USDT dominance, as indicated by crypto analyst Thomas. This article explores how USDT’s dominance could be a predictor of Bitcoin’s peak.

Significance of USDT’s Dominance in Predicting Bitcoin Peaks

According to Thomas, historical data shows that USDT dominance has consistently predicted local Bitcoin tops over the past six years. By observing when USDT dominance intersects the bottom of a trend line on a chart, traders could have potentially sold at the peak in previous market cycles.

Thomas explains that USDT’s rising dominance is a logical predictor of Bitcoin’s peak since the gradual distribution of the stablecoin over time affects market dynamics. He emphasizes the importance of USDT’s role in the market, especially in stablecoin swaps.

Moreover, Thomas suggests that USDT dominance can also signal impending local bottoms for Bitcoin, as observed in previous bear markets. While not providing precise predictions, USDT dominance can offer a rough estimation of market bottoms.

Bitcoin 2

Evaluation of Bitcoin’s Current Position

Reviewing the latest data, Thomas indicates that Bitcoin may have already hit a local top, corresponding to the USDT dominance trendline. However, he points out the potential for the market to recover and retest the lower end of the USDT dominance chart, similar to previous market cycles.

Thomas remains optimistic about the market’s future, suggesting potential retests of support levels over the coming months. This outlook implies that Bitcoin still has room to grow before reaching its peak. Other analysts also project that the market top may occur in the following year.

Thomas intends to use the USDT dominance trendline to inform his trading decisions in the BTC/ETH pairing, buying at the top and selling at the bottom of the trendline.

As of the latest data, Bitcoin is trading around $56,400, showing a 4% increase in the past 24 hours according to CoinMarketCap.

Bitcoin Price Chart From Tradingview.com