Bitrabo Editorial
Recent reports indicate a notable increase in Bitcoin’s Open Interest (OI), reaching what some consider a record high. However, Alphractal, a data analysis platform focused on investment insights, has clarified that the open interest for Bitcoin has not yet returned to its historical peak.
Bitcoin’s Open Interest: Below Historical Peak
As per Alphractal’s analysis, Bitcoin’s open interest currently does not match the highest level seen previously, which reflects a cautious atmosphere in the market despite recent price increases.
Open interest represents the total number of outstanding contracts—futures or options—in the Bitcoin market. While there has been considerable growth alongside Bitcoin’s price rebound, it still falls short of its peak achieved in 2021.
Alphractal posted this update on X (formerly known as Twitter) amid various claims that Bitcoin’s OI has hit a new all-time high. They caution that such claims depend on the exchanges included in the assessment, stating, “We’ve seen many analyses claiming a new ATH in open interest, but these vary based on the exchanges being considered.”
According to Alphractal, after conducting a thorough review across various crypto exchanges, it has been confirmed that Bitcoin’s open interest remains below its previous peak. Currently, it approaches $41.92 billion, just shy of the historical high of $42.25 billion. This suggests a positive shift in sentiment among traders, albeit with a cautious approach.
Reflecting on the trends from 2021, the platform pointed out that the open interest back then could not sustain its upward trajectory after reaching a double top. Alphractal associates the recent rise in Bitcoin’s open interest, observed towards the end of 2021, primarily with the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). They committed to updating the community if the metric reaches a new peak.
Is Bitcoin Preparing for a Retest?
Currently, Bitcoin seems to be poised for a continued upward trend following a rebound earlier in the week, generating enthusiasm among the community for a potential rally. However, trader and expert Rekt Capital has cautioned investors regarding a likely retest in the coming days.
Rekt Capital observed that Bitcoin is approaching a critical point known as the Channel Top for an important retest. He noted, “Bitcoin has consistently failed this retest in recent months.” According to him, this retest is vital for Bitcoin and could serve as a trigger for higher prices in the short term, potentially leading to a new all-time high.