Investors are closely monitoring the forthcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which is poised to significantly influence the near-term prospects for Bitcoin and various digital currencies. The key focus is on the possibility of an interest rate reduction, and traders have been pondering this scenario for a while.
While the precise extent of the rate cut has yet to be determined, there is considerable speculation that the FOMC may announce either a 25-basis point decrease or a more significant 50-basis point cut. A well-known economist has suggested that the FOMC’s choice could either trigger a sell-off in high-risk assets like Bitcoin or provide them with a boost.
Economist Anticipates Significant ‘Sell-The-News’ Reaction
The Block about the potential effects of the anticipated interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve on the cryptocurrency industry. Hanke noted that a widely expected 25-basis-point cut could trigger a ‘sell-the-news’ phenomenon across the cryptocurrency market.
He indicated that the market seems to have already factored such a reduction into asset prices. Consequently, after the announcement, the market’s response might be lackluster, possibly inciting a sell-off among digital currencies.
Hanke also highlighted that the market has not fully accounted for the possibility of a 50-basis-point cut by the Fed, and such a cut could unexpectedly provide a positive boost to the market.
Anticipating the FOMC Meeting Outcomes
U.S. inflation appears to be stabilizing, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell recently stating that “the time has come” for rate reductions. Current interest rates are in the 5.25%-5.50% range, marking their highest level in 23 years. In terms of the FOMC, these rate points indicate potential fluctuations in the federal funds rate, which the Fed adjusts primarily to foster economic growth and manage inflation.
A cut in the Fed’s interest rates could create a more favorable atmosphere for cryptocurrencies. Lower rates typically mean diminished returns on traditional savings and fixed-income products (such as bonds), potentially leading risk-averse investors to consider cryptocurrencies as an alternative.
However, with the present market conditions, forecasting the market’s reaction to a rate cut is challenging at this moment. This is due to the fact that the anticipated rate cut has previously contributed to Bitcoin’s gains earlier this year, raising questions about whether these changes are already reflected in the market pricing.
As of now, Bitcoin is currently valued at approximately $60,000, reflecting a 3.5% increase within the last 24 hours.