The anticipation for the approval of a spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) for Ethereum in the US has sparked discussions about the next potential cryptocurrency ETF. Industry experts are looking towards Solana, a high-speed blockchain network, as a frontrunner for this role.
Brian Kelly, the CEO of BKCM LLC, believes that Solana has the potential to become part of the “big three” alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum in the current crypto market cycle. This sentiment is supported by the growing popularity of Solana within the crypto community.
Investor Interest: Differing Views
While some like Brian Kelly are optimistic about a Solana ETF, others, like Nate Geraci, president of The ETF Store, believe that certain conditions need to be met first. According to Geraci, a spot Solana ETF may not be available until Congress establishes a legal framework for cryptocurrencies or until Solana futures are traded on platforms like the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.
Robert Mitchnick, an analyst at Blackrock, also raises concerns about investor interest in altcoins like Ethereum, which could affect the adoption of a Solana ETF even if it gets regulatory approval.
Currently, the US has only approved futures trading for Bitcoin and Ethereum, highlighting the regulatory challenges facing altcoin ETFs.
On the other hand, Europe seems to be more receptive to Solana, with several exchange-traded products already in existence. This discrepancy between regions suggests a potential market gap that a Solana ETF could address.
Legal Status: A Key Barrier
Despite the optimism surrounding a Solana ETF, the legal classification of Solana poses a significant hurdle. The SEC’s classification of Solana as a security, not a commodity, based on lawsuits against crypto exchanges like Coinbase and Binance in 2023 complicates the path to approval.
The Solana Foundation contests the SEC’s classification, emphasizing the decentralized nature of its blockchain. However, this legal ambiguity could prolong the approval process or even result in rejection by the SEC, given the traditional focus of ETFs on commodities.
The future of a Solana ETF hinges on regulatory clarity and investor sentiment. The decision on an Ethereum ETF will likely set a precedent for other cryptocurrency ETFs, including Solana, while the legal status of Solana will need to be resolved for progress to be made.